Swit vs Mławianka Mława: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 28Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Swit the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Mławianka Mława?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Swit (1,690) and Mławianka Mława (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mławianka Mława have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Swit win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mławianka Mława win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Swit 1-1 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 3-4 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Swit 1-1 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Mławianka Mława 6-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2024 | Swit 3-0 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Mławianka Mława 2-3 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Swit vs Mławianka Mława on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 8th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Mławianka Mława sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Swit | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Mławianka Mława?
- The Footlab model makes Swit the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Swit vs Mławianka Mława played?
- Swit vs Mławianka Mława is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsŁomża
- Apr 24, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsWeszlo
- Apr 24, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Apr 24, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Apr 24, 2027TroszynvsJagiellonia II
- Apr 24, 2027Widzew IIvsPelikan Łowicz
- Apr 24, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsŁKS Łódź II
- Apr 24, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsWarta Sieradz