Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Ząbkovia Ząbki played?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Ząbkovia Ząbki is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Ząbkovia Ząbki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

Ząbkovia Ząbki

The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 39% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (1,666) and Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,701).

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win39 %

Draw23 %

Ząbkovia Ząbki win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Swit(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Ząbkovia Ząbki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Warta Sieradz(away)	4-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Widzew II(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	0-5	III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1.2	1.8	3	10/15	9/15
Ząbkovia Ząbki	1.4	1.9	3	7/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Ząbkovia Ząbki	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	5	0	1	4	7	14	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?: The Footlab model makes Ząbkovia Ząbki the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 39% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Ząbkovia Ząbki played?: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Ząbkovia Ząbki is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.