Match

Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki

Wigry SuwałkiMławianka Mława

The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława?

Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,716).

Wigry Suwałki win55 %
Draw24 %
Mławianka Mława win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Mławianka Mława have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wigry Suwałki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Swit(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Troszyn(home)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Jagiellonia II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(home)2-0III Liga - Group 1
Mławianka Mława
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Łomża(away)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home)2-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Weszlo(away)1-5III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(home)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Warta Sieradz(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mławianka Mława win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Wigry Suwałki 2-0 Mławianka MławaIII Liga - Group 1
Oct 18, 2025Mławianka Mława 1-2 Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga - Group 1
Mar 26, 2025Wigry Suwałki 1-2 Mławianka MławaIII Liga - Group 1
Aug 10, 2024Mławianka Mława 2-3 Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wigry Suwałki1.60.777/155/15
Mławianka Mława1.81.357/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wigry Suwałki sit 6th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Mławianka Mława sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Wigry Suwałki5230529
14Mławianka Mława51135104

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława?
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Mławianka Mława.
Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława played?
Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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