Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława?
Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,836 vs 1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Mławianka Mława have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mławianka Mława win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki 2-0 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 1-2 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 1-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Mławianka Mława 2-3 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigry Suwałki sit 6th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Mławianka Mława sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wigry Suwałki | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Mławianka Mława | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława played?
- Wigry Suwałki vs Mławianka Mława is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsSwit
- May 29, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsTroszyn
- May 29, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- May 29, 2027Warta SieradzvsŁomża
- May 29, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWeszlo
- May 29, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsZąbkovia Ząbki
- May 29, 2027Widzew IIvsJagiellonia II
- May 29, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsŁKS Łódź II