Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?

Pelikan Łowicz vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pelikan Łowicz vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pelikan, Łowicz

Pelikan Łowicz

Lechia T. Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?

Lechia T. Mazowiecki starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,758 vs 1,654).

Pelikan Łowicz win35 %

Draw23 %

Lechia T. Mazowiecki win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelikan Łowicz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pelikan Łowicz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Troszyn(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Jagiellonia II(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Mławianka Mława(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Łomża(home)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1

Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	4-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Mławianka Mława(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Łomża(home)	5-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Płock II(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Weszlo(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pelikan Łowicz win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2025	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 6-1 Pelikan Łowicz	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 17, 2024	Pelikan Łowicz 1-2 Lechia T. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1
Mar 17, 2024	Pelikan Łowicz 0-0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 23, 2023	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-0 Pelikan Łowicz	III Liga - Group 1
May 24, 2023	Lechia T. Mazowiecki 0-2 Pelikan Łowicz	III Liga - Group 1
Oct 23, 2022	Pelikan Łowicz 1-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Pelikan Łowicz on Mar 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pelikan Łowicz	1.1	1.7	2	10/15	9/15
Lechia T. Mazowiecki	2.0	1.9	2	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Pelikan Łowicz	5	3	1	1	7	7	10
5	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	5	3	0	2	14	11	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pelikan Łowicz vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?: The Footlab model makes Lechia T. Mazowiecki the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Pelikan Łowicz.
Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?: Pelikan Łowicz vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.