Match

Warta Sieradz vs Łomża: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Sieradz

Warta SieradzŁomża

The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Łomża. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Łomża?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Warta Sieradz (1,849) and Łomża (1,844).

Warta Sieradz win43 %
Draw24 %
Łomża win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Sieradz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Sieradz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Troszyn(away)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Jagiellonia II(home)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 9, 2026ŁKS Łódź II(away)1-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Mławianka Mława(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Łomża
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mławianka Mława(home)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Wisła Płock II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away)2-5III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Weszlo(home)0-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Pelikan Łowicz(away)2-3III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warta Sieradz win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Łomża win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 22, 2025Łomża 1-1 Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2025Warta Sieradz 1-2 ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1
Apr 18, 2025Warta Sieradz 1-0 ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1
Sep 21, 2024Łomża 2-4 Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1
Mar 23, 2024Łomża 2-0 Warta SieradzIII Liga - Group 1
Aug 27, 2023Warta Sieradz 2-2 ŁomżaIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Łomża vs Warta Sieradz on Nov 22, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Warta Sieradz1.91.159/1510/15
Łomża1.71.358/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Sieradz sit 12th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Warta Sieradz5212897
15Łomża50235102

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Sieradz vs Łomża?
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Łomża.
Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Łomża played?
Warta Sieradz vs Łomża is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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