Warta Sieradz vs Łomża: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Sieradz
The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Łomża. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Łomża?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Warta Sieradz (1,849) and Łomża (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Sieradz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Warta Sieradz win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Łomża win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Łomża 1-1 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Warta Sieradz 1-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Warta Sieradz 1-0 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Łomża 2-4 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Łomża 2-0 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Warta Sieradz 2-2 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Łomża vs Warta Sieradz on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warta Sieradz sit 12th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warta Sieradz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warta Sieradz vs Łomża?
- The Footlab model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Łomża.
- Where and when is Warta Sieradz vs Łomża played?
- Warta Sieradz vs Łomża is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsMławianka Mława
- May 29, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsSwit
- May 29, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsTroszyn
- May 29, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- May 29, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWeszlo
- May 29, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsZąbkovia Ząbki
- May 29, 2027Widzew IIvsJagiellonia II
- May 29, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsŁKS Łódź II