Match

Olimpia Elbląg vs Swit: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg

Olimpia ElblągSwit

The Footlab model makes Olimpia Elbląg the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Swit?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Olimpia Elbląg (1,637) and Swit (1,690).

Olimpia Elbląg win38 %
Draw25 %
Swit win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Swit have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olimpia Elbląg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Widzew II(home)0-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)4-2III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Swit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wigry Suwałki(away)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Widzew II(away)0-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Olimpia Zambrów(home)4-0III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Swit win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Swit 0-1 Olimpia ElblągIII Liga - Group 1
Sep 13, 2025Olimpia Elbląg 1-1 SwitIII Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Swit vs Olimpia Elbląg on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Olimpia Elbląg1.11.9111/1510/15
Swit1.71.659/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Swit sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Swit5221738
11Olimpia Elbląg5212997

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Swit?
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Elbląg the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Swit.
Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Swit played?
Olimpia Elbląg vs Swit is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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