Olimpia Elbląg vs Swit: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Elbląg the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Swit?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Olimpia Elbląg (1,637) and Swit (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Swit have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Swit win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Swit 0-1 Olimpia Elbląg | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Olimpia Elbląg 1-1 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Swit vs Olimpia Elbląg on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Elbląg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th in III Liga - Group 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and Swit sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Swit | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Olimpia Elbląg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Swit?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Elbląg the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Swit.
- Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Swit played?
- Olimpia Elbląg vs Swit is played on May 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Wigry SuwałkivsMławianka Mława
- May 29, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsTroszyn
- May 29, 2027Pelikan ŁowiczvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- May 29, 2027Warta SieradzvsŁomża
- May 29, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWeszlo
- May 29, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsZąbkovia Ząbki
- May 29, 2027Widzew IIvsJagiellonia II
- May 29, 2027Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsŁKS Łódź II