Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?

Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska

Polonia Środa

Bałtyk Koszalin

The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,653).

Polonia Środa win62 %

Draw21 %

Bałtyk Koszalin win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Bałtyk Koszalin have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Środa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2

Bałtyk Koszalin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kalisz(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Luzino(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Polonia Środa win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bałtyk Koszalin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin 0-3 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 26, 2022	Polonia Środa 2-1 Bałtyk Koszalin	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 22, 2021	Bałtyk Koszalin 1-1 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 13, 2021	Polonia Środa 2-2 Bałtyk Koszalin	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Bałtyk Koszalin vs Polonia Środa on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Środa	1.9	1.2	4	8/15	11/15
Bałtyk Koszalin	1.1	1.7	2	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (15 points from 5 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	5	5	0	0	15	4	15
13	Bałtyk Koszalin	5	1	2	2	4	7	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?: Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.