Match

Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska

Polonia ŚrodaBałtyk Koszalin

The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Bałtyk Koszalin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Polonia Środa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,631).

59%22%19%
Polonia Środa winDrawBałtyk Koszalin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Polonia Środa

4-3-3
  1. 7P. Mikita
  2. 9J. Wilczyński
  3. 4Jakub Kledecki
  1. 97F. Karmański
  2. 10B. Bartkowiak
  3. 23M. Stangel
  1. 15M. Pieńczak
  2. 38K. Gorecki
  3. 6Jonathan de Amo
  4. 2Michal Walczak
  1. 12M. Garstkiewicz

Bałtyk Koszalin

Not enough data to predict the Bałtyk Koszalin lineup.

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 11:22 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Bałtyk Koszalin have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Środa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Luzino(home)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Oct 28, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(home)3-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026Kalisz(away)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 18, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Bałtyk Koszalin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)0-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 31, 2026Wda Świecie(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Elana Toruń(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Noteć Czarnków(away)3-0III Liga - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Polonia Środa wins, 2 draws, 0 Bałtyk Koszalin wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin 0-3 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 26, 2022Polonia Środa 2-1 Bałtyk KoszalinIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 22, 2021Bałtyk Koszalin 1-1 Polonia ŚrodaIII Liga - Group 2
Mar 13, 2021Polonia Środa 2-2 Bałtyk KoszalinIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Bałtyk Koszalin vs Polonia Środa on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Środa score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Środa2.71.5410/1511/15
Bałtyk Koszalin1.51.1410/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (37 points from 16 matches) and Bałtyk Koszalin sit 8th (21 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Polonia Środa161141432137
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565222021

A question about Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Bałtyk Koszalin.
Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin played?
Polonia Środa vs Bałtyk Koszalin is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Polonia Środa and Bałtyk Koszalin

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