Kluczevia Stargard vs Chemik Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,773) and Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kluczevia Stargard win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chemik Bydgoszcz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz 3-3 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Kluczevia Stargard on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/13 | 9/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
- Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Chemik Bydgoszcz played?
- Kluczevia Stargard vs Chemik Bydgoszcz is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 21, 2026Lech Poznań IIvsVictoria Września
- Nov 21, 2026KaliszvsFlota Świnoujście
- Nov 21, 2026Unia SwarzędzvsGrom Nowy Staw
- Nov 21, 2026LuzinovsKotwica Kórnik
- Nov 21, 2026Noteć CzarnkówvsGedania Gdansk
- Nov 21, 2026Wda ŚwiecievsStargard Szczeciński
- Nov 21, 2026Lipno StęszewvsElana Toruń