Match

Kluczevia Stargard vs Chemik Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard

Kluczevia StargardChemik Bydgoszcz

The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,773) and Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724).

Kluczevia Stargard win45 %
Draw24 %
Chemik Bydgoszcz win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kluczevia Stargard
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)4-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Gedania Gdansk(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)3-3III Liga - Group 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Flota Świnoujście(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Luzino(away)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Polonia Środa(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)3-3III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kluczevia Stargard win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chemik Bydgoszcz win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz 3-3 Kluczevia StargardIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Kluczevia Stargard on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kluczevia Stargard2.11.7212/1514/15
Chemik Bydgoszcz2.21.8210/139/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kluczevia Stargard5320151011
15Chemik Bydgoszcz50327123

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Chemik Bydgoszcz played?
Kluczevia Stargard vs Chemik Bydgoszcz is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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