Match

UD Ourense vs CD Coria: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense

UD OurenseCD Coria

The Footlab AI model makes UD Ourense the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for CD Coria. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Ourense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Ourense vs CD Coria?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate UD Ourense (1,931) and CD Coria (1,917).

40%28%32%
UD Ourense winDrawCD Coria win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for UD Ourense vs CD Coria

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

UD Ourense

4-3-3
  1. 10David Ferreiro
  2. 17Xabi Dominguez
  3. 11Sergi Baldrich
  1. 14R. Martinez
  2. 22D. Tejon
  3. 16Álvaro Bastida
  1. 4J. Labrada
  2. 5Varo
  3. 6N. Gonzalez
  4. 3Julio Cabrera
  1. 1Manuel Vizoso

CD Coria

4-3-3
  1. 17Álex Blanco
  2. 9P. Palacin
  3. 7Iván Ramos
  1. 18J. Gallastegi
  2. 8Edu Llorente
  3. 10S. Gomez
  1. 20Iñaki León
  2. 3Jacobo Guzmán
  3. 23A. Dominguez
  4. 22B. Núñez
  1. 1Aarón Rodríguez

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Ourense have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; CD Coria have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Ourense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Barakaldo(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Real Unión(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Cacereño(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026UD Logroñés(home)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
CD Coria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)2-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Zamora(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

UD Ourense score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CD Coria score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
UD Ourense1.01.156/156/15
CD Coria1.51.558/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UD Ourense sit 19th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (5 points from 7 matches) and CD Coria sit 18th (5 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
18CD Coria712410155
19UD Ourense71243105

A question about UD Ourense vs CD Coria?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Ourense vs CD Coria?
The Footlab AI model makes UD Ourense the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for CD Coria.
Where and when is UD Ourense vs CD Coria played?
UD Ourense vs CD Coria is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: UD Ourense and CD Coria

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