Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Avilés: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo, La Coruña
The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Coruña II the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Avilés?
Deportivo La Coruña II starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (2,036 vs 1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo La Coruña II have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Real Avilés have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Deportivo La Coruña II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Real Avilés win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Deportivo La Coruña II 0-0 Real Avilés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Real Avilés 0-2 Deportivo La Coruña II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Deportivo La Coruña II 1-0 Real Avilés | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Real Avilés 2-2 Deportivo La Coruña II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Avilés on Mar 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo La Coruña II score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruña II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Avilés | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Real Avilés | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 67 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Avilés?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo La Coruña II the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Real Avilés.
- Where and when is Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Avilés played?
- Deportivo La Coruña II vs Real Avilés is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.