Match

Pontardawe Town vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parc Ynysderw, Swansea

Pontardawe TownAfan Lido

The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Afan Lido?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Pontardawe Town (1,469) and Afan Lido (1,498).

Pontardawe Town win49 %
Draw23 %
Afan Lido win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontardawe Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Afan Lido have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontardawe Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Afan Lido(away)0-1FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026Newport City(home)0-4FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Pontypridd Town(away)2-3FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Caerphilly Athletic(home)3-0FAW Championship
Apr 20, 2024Baglan Dragons(away)2-1FAW Championship
Afan Lido
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)1-0FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026Carmarthen Town(away)1-3FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Llantwit Major(home)5-0FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Aberystwyth Town(home)2-5FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026Cardiff Draconians(away)1-4FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pontardawe Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Afan Lido win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Afan Lido 1-0 Pontardawe TownFAW Championship
Feb 10, 2024Pontardawe Town 2-3 Afan LidoFAW Championship
Sep 22, 2023Afan Lido 2-3 Pontardawe TownFAW Championship
Feb 11, 2023Pontardawe Town 1-2 Afan LidoFAW Championship
Nov 5, 2022Afan Lido 3-3 Pontardawe TownFAW Championship
Nov 4, 2016Afan Lido 1-0 Pontardawe TownWelsh Cup

Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Pontardawe Town on Aug 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontardawe Town1.32.137/1510/15
Afan Lido1.71.757/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontardawe Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Afan Lido sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Afan Lido4202986
13Pontardawe Town4103583

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontardawe Town vs Afan Lido?
The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Afan Lido.
Where and when is Pontardawe Town vs Afan Lido played?
Pontardawe Town vs Afan Lido is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parc Ynysderw, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pontardawe Town and Afan Lido

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