Pontardawe Town vs Afan Lido: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parc Ynysderw, Swansea
The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Afan Lido. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Afan Lido?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Pontardawe Town (1,469) and Afan Lido (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontardawe Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Afan Lido have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pontardawe Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Afan Lido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Afan Lido 1-0 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Pontardawe Town 2-3 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Afan Lido 2-3 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Pontardawe Town 1-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Afan Lido 3-3 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 4, 2016 | Afan Lido 1-0 Pontardawe Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Pontardawe Town on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontardawe Town | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontardawe Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Afan Lido sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontardawe Town vs Afan Lido?
- The Footlab model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Afan Lido.
- Where and when is Pontardawe Town vs Afan Lido played?
- Pontardawe Town vs Afan Lido is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parc Ynysderw, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 5, 2027Pontypridd TownvsCaerphilly Athletic
- Feb 6, 2027Llantwit MajorvsCaerau (Ely)
- Feb 6, 2027Cardiff DraconiansvsSwansea University
- Feb 6, 2027Trethomas Bluebirdsvsllanelli AFC
- Feb 6, 2027Ynyshir AlbionsvsCarmarthen Town
- Feb 6, 2027Treowen StarsvsNewport City
- Feb 6, 2027Aberystwyth TownvsBaglan Dragons