Where and when is Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds played?

Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds is played on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 23Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot

Afan Lido

Trethomas Bluebirds

The Footlab model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Afan Lido (1,498) and Trethomas Bluebirds (1,512).

Afan Lido win51 %

Draw22 %

Trethomas Bluebirds win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Trethomas Bluebirds have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Afan Lido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontardawe Town(home)	1-0	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Carmarthen Town(away)	1-3	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	Llantwit Major(home)	5-0	FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Aberystwyth Town(home)	2-5	FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026	Cardiff Draconians(away)	1-4	FAW Championship

Trethomas Bluebirds
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Pontypridd Town(away)	1-2	FAW Championship
Aug 14, 2026	Caerau (Ely)(home)	2-4	FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026	llanelli AFC(away)	1-1	FAW Championship
Jul 31, 2026	Baglan Dragons(home)	0-0	FAW Championship
Jul 14, 2026	Barry Town(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Afan Lido win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Trethomas Bluebirds win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 20, 2026	Afan Lido 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds	FAW Championship
Aug 22, 2025	Trethomas Bluebirds 3-2 Afan Lido	FAW Championship
Apr 4, 2025	Afan Lido 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds	FAW Championship
Oct 11, 2024	Trethomas Bluebirds 3-2 Afan Lido	FAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds on Feb 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Afan Lido	1.7	1.7	5	7/15	9/15
Trethomas Bluebirds	1.5	2.3	3	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Afan Lido sit 8th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Trethomas Bluebirds sit 14th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Afan Lido	4	2	0	2	9	8	6
14	Trethomas Bluebirds	4	0	2	2	4	7	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?: The Footlab model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
Where and when is Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds played?: Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds is played on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.