Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 23Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
The Footlab AI model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Trethomas Bluebirds. The most likely score is 1-1. If Afan Lido wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,227 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Afan Lido (1,507) and Trethomas Bluebirds (1,549).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Afan Lido
Not enough data to predict the Afan Lido lineup.
Trethomas Bluebirds
Not enough data to predict the Trethomas Bluebirds lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 02:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Trethomas Bluebirds have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 2-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 5-5 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Afan Lido wins, 0 draws, 3 Trethomas Bluebirds wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds 5-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Afan Lido 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds 3-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Afan Lido 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Trethomas Bluebirds 3-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Trethomas Bluebirds vs Afan Lido on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.8 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 1.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Trethomas Bluebirds | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afan Lido sit 7th in FAW Championship (18 points from 14 matches) and Trethomas Bluebirds sit 8th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Afan Lido | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 26 | 18 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 17 |
A question about Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds?
- The Footlab AI model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Trethomas Bluebirds.
- Where and when is Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds played?
- Afan Lido vs Trethomas Bluebirds is played on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 12, 2027Caerphilly AthleticvsTreowen Stars
- Feb 12, 2027Swansea UniversityvsLlantwit Major
- Feb 12, 2027llanelli AFCvsPontypridd Town
- Feb 12, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsBaglan Dragons
- Feb 13, 2027Newport CityvsAberystwyth Town
- Feb 13, 2027Carmarthen TownvsCardiff Draconians
- Feb 13, 2027Ynyshir AlbionsvsPontardawe Town