Trethomas Bluebirds vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 22Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, Ystrad Mynach, Caerphilly
The Footlab model makes Trethomas Bluebirds the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs llanelli AFC?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Trethomas Bluebirds (1,512) and llanelli AFC (1,559).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trethomas Bluebirds have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Barry Town(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Trethomas Bluebirds win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 llanelli AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | llanelli AFC 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Jan 31, 2025 | llanelli AFC 1-1 Trethomas Bluebirds | FAW Championship |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Trethomas Bluebirds 1-4 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Sep 30, 2016 | Trethomas Bluebirds 0-6 llanelli AFC | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: llanelli AFC vs Trethomas Bluebirds on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trethomas Bluebirds score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trethomas Bluebirds | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| llanelli AFC | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trethomas Bluebirds sit 14th in FAW Championship (2 points from 4 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trethomas Bluebirds vs llanelli AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Trethomas Bluebirds the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is Trethomas Bluebirds vs llanelli AFC played?
- Trethomas Bluebirds vs llanelli AFC is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.