Ynyshir Albions vs Pontardawe Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 23Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ynyshir Oval, Porth
The Footlab model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Pontardawe Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ynyshir Albions vs Pontardawe Town?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Ynyshir Albions (1,428) and Pontardawe Town (1,447).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ynyshir Albions have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Pontardawe Town have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ynyshir Albions win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Pontardawe Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Pontardawe Town 3-0 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Ynyshir Albions 0-2 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontardawe Town vs Ynyshir Albions on Mar 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Pontardawe Town | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ynyshir Albions sit 9th in FAW Championship (4 points from 3 matches) and Pontardawe Town sit 13th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ynyshir Albions vs Pontardawe Town?
- The Footlab model makes Ynyshir Albions the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Pontardawe Town.
- Where and when is Ynyshir Albions vs Pontardawe Town played?
- Ynyshir Albions vs Pontardawe Town is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ynyshir Oval, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 12, 2027Swansea UniversityvsLlantwit Major
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- Feb 12, 2027llanelli AFCvsPontypridd Town
- Feb 12, 2027Caerphilly AthleticvsTreowen Stars
- Feb 12, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsBaglan Dragons
- Feb 13, 2027Newport CityvsAberystwyth Town
- Feb 13, 2027Carmarthen TownvsCardiff Draconians