Pontypridd Town vs Caerphilly Athletic: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 22Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)USW Sports Park, Treforest, Pontypridd
The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Caerphilly Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontypridd Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Caerphilly Athletic?
On Elo ratings, Pontypridd Town has 1,648 points and Caerphilly Athletic 1,561.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontypridd Town vs Caerphilly Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontypridd Town
Not enough data to predict the Pontypridd Town lineup.
Caerphilly Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Caerphilly Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontypridd Town have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Caerphilly Athletic have 4, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Pontypridd Town win, 0 draws, 0 Caerphilly Athletic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic 1-2 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Caerphilly Athletic vs Pontypridd Town on Sep 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pontypridd Town score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caerphilly Athletic score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontypridd Town | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Caerphilly Athletic | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/14 | 11/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontypridd Town sit 2nd in FAW Championship (20 points from 10 matches) and Caerphilly Athletic sit 11th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 20 |
| 11 | Caerphilly Athletic | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 11 |
A question about Pontypridd Town vs Caerphilly Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontypridd Town vs Caerphilly Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Caerphilly Athletic.
- Where and when is Pontypridd Town vs Caerphilly Athletic played?
- Pontypridd Town vs Caerphilly Athletic is played on February 5, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at USW Sports Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.