Pontevedra vs Deportivo La Coruña II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Deportivo La Coruña II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontevedra vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Pontevedra (1,990) and Deportivo La Coruña II (2,038).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo La Coruña II have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Pontevedra win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Deportivo La Coruña II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pontevedra 2-1 Deportivo La Coruña II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Deportivo La Coruña II 3-0 Pontevedra | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Pontevedra 2-1 Deportivo La Coruña II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Deportivo La Coruña II 2-2 Pontevedra | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Pontevedra 4-1 Deportivo La Coruña II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pontevedra vs Deportivo La Coruña II on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo La Coruña II score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontevedra | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Deportivo La Coruña II | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49 | 31 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Deportivo La Coruña II?
- The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Deportivo La Coruña II.
- Where and when is Pontevedra vs Deportivo La Coruña II played?
- Pontevedra vs Deportivo La Coruña II is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.