Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Lugo played?

Racing Ferrol vs Lugo is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Racing Ferrol vs Lugo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol

Racing Ferrol

Lugo

The Footlab model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Lugo?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Racing Ferrol (1,831) and Lugo (1,885).

Racing Ferrol win37 %

Draw31 %

Lugo win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Lugo have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Racing Ferrol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 13, 2026	Real Avilés(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Real Madrid II(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(away)	2-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Osasuna II(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 8, 2026	Arenas Getxo(away)	1-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Lugo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Coruxo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Arenteiro(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(away)	1-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Racing Ferrol win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Lugo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 7, 2026	Racing Ferrol 1-1 Lugo	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 21, 2025	Lugo 2-1 Racing Ferrol	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 30, 2022	Racing Ferrol 1-1 Lugo	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 6, 2022	Lugo 1-0 Racing Ferrol	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Racing Ferrol vs Lugo on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Racing Ferrol	1.0	1.5	4	9/15	7/15
Lugo	0.9	1.3	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Racing Ferrol sit 12th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (49 points from 38 matches) and Lugo sit 9th (53 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Lugo	38	13	14	11	36	40	53
12	Racing Ferrol	38	13	10	15	41	47	49

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs Lugo?: The Footlab model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Lugo.
Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Lugo played?: Racing Ferrol vs Lugo is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.