Racing Ferrol vs Lugo: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Lugo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing Ferrol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Lugo?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Racing Ferrol (1,887) and Lugo (1,970).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Ferrol vs Lugo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Ferrol
4-3-3- 10Dani Ojeda
- 19Roberto Arroyo
- 11Endika Bujan
- 6Fabio González
- 14Jesús Bernal
- 16Raúl Blanco
- 2Migue Leal
- 17Álvaro Ramón
- 4Germán Novoa
- 5Eric Monjonell
- 1Lucas Díaz
Lugo
4-3-3- 17Chiqui
- 11M. Dauda
- 16A. Palma
- 20A. Ulloa
- 15P. Parrilla
- 6Kevin Presa
- 5Pol Moreno
- 19R. Lucero
- 4Ibaider Garriz
- 3Pere Haro
- 1Marc Martínez
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Lugo have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Racing Ferrol wins, 2 draws, 3 Lugo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugo 1-0 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Racing Ferrol 1-1 Lugo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Lugo 2-1 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Racing Ferrol 1-1 Lugo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Lugo 1-0 Racing Ferrol | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Lugo vs Racing Ferrol on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Ferrol | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Lugo | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Ferrol sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (13 points from 7 matches) and Lugo sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
A question about Racing Ferrol vs Lugo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs Lugo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Lugo.
- Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Lugo played?
- Racing Ferrol vs Lugo is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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