Match

Barakaldo vs CD Coria: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, Barakaldo

BarakaldoCD Coria

The Footlab AI model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for CD Coria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barakaldo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barakaldo vs CD Coria?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Barakaldo (1,924) and CD Coria (1,921).

43%28%29%
Barakaldo winDrawCD Coria win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Barakaldo vs CD Coria

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Barakaldo

4-3-3
  1. 19Ángel Troncho
  2. 20Okolo
  3. 11Carlos Mattheus
  1. 8Julen Huidobro
  2. 15I. Jimenez
  3. 21X. Fernandez
  1. 17Pablo Trigueros
  2. 3Ander Zoilo
  3. 5Aritz Muguruza
  4. 4O. Marotias
  1. 13Gaizka Campos

CD Coria

4-3-3
  1. 17Álex Blanco
  2. 9P. Palacin
  3. 7Iván Ramos
  1. 18J. Gallastegi
  2. 8Edu Llorente
  3. 10S. Gomez
  1. 20Iñaki León
  2. 3Jacobo Guzmán
  3. 23A. Dominguez
  4. 22B. Núñez
  1. 1Aarón Rodríguez

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:12 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barakaldo have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; CD Coria have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barakaldo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Real Avilés(home)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 11, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
CD Coria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)2-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Zamora(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Barakaldo wins, 0 draws, 1 CD Coria win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026CD Coria 4-1 BarakaldoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: CD Coria vs Barakaldo on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Barakaldo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CD Coria score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barakaldo1.11.246/154/15
CD Coria1.51.558/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barakaldo sit 17th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (6 points from 7 matches) and CD Coria sit 18th (5 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Barakaldo71336106
18CD Coria712410155

A question about Barakaldo vs CD Coria?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barakaldo vs CD Coria?
The Footlab AI model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for CD Coria.
Where and when is Barakaldo vs CD Coria played?
Barakaldo vs CD Coria is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Barakaldo and CD Coria

Ready to know everything about football?