Match

UD Ourense vs Pontevedra: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense

UD OurensePontevedra

The Footlab AI model makes UD Ourense the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Pontevedra. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Ourense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Ourense vs Pontevedra?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate UD Ourense (1,905) and Pontevedra (1,953).

43%28%29%
UD Ourense winDrawPontevedra win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for UD Ourense vs Pontevedra

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

UD Ourense

4-3-3
  1. 10David Ferreiro
  2. 11Sergi Baldrich
  3. 17Xabi Dominguez
  1. 14R. Martinez
  2. 22D. Tejon
  3. 16Álvaro Bastida
  1. 4J. Labrada
  2. 3Julio Cabrera
  3. 5L. Fernandez
  4. 2Varo
  1. 1Manuel Vizoso

Pontevedra

4-3-3
  1. 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
  2. 11Iñaki Elejalde
  3. 9D. Mba
  1. 10Y. Pino
  2. 14L. Macias
  3. 6I. Ivorra
  1. 16A. Vidorreta
  2. 5A. Perez
  3. 20Rui Ferreira
  4. 15D. Alba
  1. 1Raúl Marqueta

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:07 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Ourense have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Pontevedra have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Ourense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Real Avilés(away)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Barakaldo(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Real Unión(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Cacereño(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Cacereño(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 UD Ourense wins, 1 draw, 0 Pontevedra wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 29, 2025UD Ourense 1-1 PontevedraCopa del Rey

Last archived meeting: UD Ourense vs Pontevedra on Oct 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

UD Ourense score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
UD Ourense1.01.156/156/15
Pontevedra1.51.5310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UD Ourense sit 19th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (5 points from 8 matches) and Pontevedra sit 11th (11 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Pontevedra8323101011
19UD Ourense81253135

A question about UD Ourense vs Pontevedra?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Ourense vs Pontevedra?
The Footlab AI model makes UD Ourense the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Pontevedra.
Where and when is UD Ourense vs Pontevedra played?
UD Ourense vs Pontevedra is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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