Match

Pontevedra vs Real Unión: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 37Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra

PontevedraReal Unión

The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Pontevedra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Unión wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontevedra vs Real Unión?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Pontevedra (1,955) and Real Unión (1,973).

31%28%41%
Pontevedra winDrawReal Unión win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pontevedra vs Real Unión

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pontevedra

4-3-3
  1. 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
  2. 11Iñaki Elejalde
  3. 17Alberto Gil
  1. 10Y. Pino
  2. 6I. Ivorra
  3. 14L. Macias
  1. 16A. Vidorreta
  2. 5A. Perez
  3. 2A. Argos
  4. 20Rui Ferreira
  1. 1Raúl Marqueta

Real Unión

4-3-3
  1. 20Ander Martín
  2. 7Unai García
  3. 11Aitor Galarza Altuna
  1. 23Sangalli
  2. 6B. Gaubeka
  3. 22Juan de la Mata
  1. 2Javi Fontán
  2. 4Jordi Pola
  3. 8P. Alvarez
  4. 3Álvaro Mateo
  1. 1Jon Tena

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:06 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Unión have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Ponferradina(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026Athletic Club II(home)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Unión
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Athletic Club II(away)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026UD Ourense(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Mirandes(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)2-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Pontevedra score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontevedra1.71.5310/1511/15
Real Unión2.01.6311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontevedra sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 7 matches) and Real Unión sit 10th (9 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Real Unión723213119
15Pontevedra72239108

A question about Pontevedra vs Real Unión?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Real Unión?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Unión the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Pontevedra.
Where and when is Pontevedra vs Real Unión played?
Pontevedra vs Real Unión is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pontevedra and Real Unión

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