Where and when is Mirandes vs Real Avilés played?

Mirandes vs Real Avilés is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mirandes vs Real Avilés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 37Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro

Mirandes

Real Avilés

The Footlab model makes Mirandes the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mirandes vs Real Avilés?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Mirandes (1,877) and Real Avilés (1,868).

Mirandes win44 %

Draw28 %

Real Avilés win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandes have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Real Avilés have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mirandes
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	UD Logroñés(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026	La Calzada(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Real Madrid II(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026	Atlético Madrid II(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Osasuna II(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Real Avilés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Sporting Gijón II(home)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	Mosconia(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026	Racing Ferrol(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Racing Santander II(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Cultural Leonesa(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Mirandes score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mirandes	1.3	1.5	3	9/15	9/15
Real Avilés	1.5	1.5	2	12/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Real Avilés	38	11	11	16	55	67	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mirandes vs Real Avilés?: The Footlab model makes Mirandes the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Real Avilés.
Where and when is Mirandes vs Real Avilés played?: Mirandes vs Real Avilés is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.