Match

Mirandes vs Real Avilés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 37Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro

MirandesReal Avilés

The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mirandes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,972 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mirandes vs Real Avilés?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Mirandes (1,885) and Real Avilés (1,896).

47%28%25%
Mirandes winDrawReal Avilés win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mirandes vs Real Avilés

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mirandes

4-3-3
  1. 9I. Unzueta
  2. 11Aitor Uzkudun
  3. 10Nico Espinosa
  1. 16Markel Lozano
  2. 19Ricardo de Moraes
  3. 23Josué Dorrio
  1. 22Martín Aguirregabiria
  2. 21Aritz Arambarri
  3. 8R. Martinez
  4. 24Joaquín Fernández
  1. 13Edgar Badia

Real Avilés

4-3-3
  1. 14Berto Cayarga
  2. 8B. Abelenda
  3. 19N. Poquet
  1. 7Cris Montes
  2. 9Álvaro Santamaría
  3. 5Samuel
  1. 20O. Carracedo
  2. 21Jon Sillero
  3. 23A. Lopez
  4. 15Eric Pérez
  1. 1Álvaro Ratón

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 04:01 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandes have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Real Avilés have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mirandes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Barakaldo(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 10, 2026Zamora(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Real Unión(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real Avilés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026UD Ourense(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 11, 2026Ponferradina(away)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 2, 2026Lugo(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Barakaldo(away)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026CD Coria(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Mirandes score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mirandes1.11.155/155/15
Real Avilés1.61.2310/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mirandes sit 12th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 8 matches) and Real Avilés sit 10th (11 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Real Avilés8323141011
12Mirandes8323101011

A question about Mirandes vs Real Avilés?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mirandes vs Real Avilés?
The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Real Avilés.
Where and when is Mirandes vs Real Avilés played?
Mirandes vs Real Avilés is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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