Match

Ponferradina vs CD Coria: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 37Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada

PonferradinaCD Coria

The Footlab AI model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for CD Coria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ponferradina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ponferradina vs CD Coria?

On Elo ratings, Ponferradina has 1,963 points and CD Coria 1,917.

50%27%23%
Ponferradina winDrawCD Coria win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ponferradina vs CD Coria

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ponferradina

4-3-3
  1. 7C. Calderon
  2. 10Borja Valle
  3. 12Unai Sabroso Lorenzo
  1. 6Fede San Emeterio
  2. 8Arturo Molina
  3. 15O. Vacas
  1. 3Sergio Nieto
  2. 4A. Jelbat
  3. 24Koke
  4. 2David Andújar
  1. 1Álex Domínguez

CD Coria

4-3-3
  1. 17Álex Blanco
  2. 9P. Palacin
  3. 7Iván Ramos
  1. 18J. Gallastegi
  2. 8Edu Llorente
  3. 10S. Gomez
  1. 20Iñaki León
  2. 3Jacobo Guzmán
  3. 23A. Dominguez
  4. 22B. Núñez
  1. 1Aarón Rodríguez

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:05 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ponferradina have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; CD Coria have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ponferradina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Real Avilés(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Mirandes(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Pontevedra(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Mérida AD(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
CD Coria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)2-4Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Zamora(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Lugo(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Ponferradina score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CD Coria score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ponferradina0.91.185/155/15
CD Coria1.51.558/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ponferradina sit 9th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 7 matches) and CD Coria sit 18th (5 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Ponferradina73225511
18CD Coria712410155

A question about Ponferradina vs CD Coria?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ponferradina vs CD Coria?
The Footlab AI model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for CD Coria.
Where and when is Ponferradina vs CD Coria played?
Ponferradina vs CD Coria is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Toralín, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ponferradina and CD Coria

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