llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 23Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontypridd Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town?
Pontypridd Town starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,646 vs 1,526).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
llanelli AFC
Not enough data to predict the llanelli AFC lineup.
Pontypridd Town
Not enough data to predict the Pontypridd Town lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 win, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-6 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 2-6 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 llanelli AFC wins, 0 draws, 4 Pontypridd Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 1-2 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2024 | llanelli AFC 3-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 4, 2023 | llanelli AFC 1-4 Pontypridd Town | League Cup |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Pontypridd Town 4-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 13, 2021 | llanelli AFC 0-4 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 29, 2019 | Pontypridd Town 2-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC on Mar 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 3.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 0.7 | 3.4 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Pontypridd Town | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
llanelli AFC sit 16th in FAW Championship (2 points from 11 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 20 |
| 16 | llanelli AFC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 2 |
A question about llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town played?
- llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town is played on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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