llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 23Kick-off on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stebonheath Park, Llanelli, Carmarthenshire
The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Pontypridd Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate llanelli AFC (1,559) and Pontypridd Town (1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, llanelli AFC have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 llanelli AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Pontypridd Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2025 | Pontypridd Town 1-2 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2024 | llanelli AFC 3-0 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Aug 4, 2023 | llanelli AFC 1-4 Pontypridd Town | League Cup |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Pontypridd Town 4-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
| Aug 13, 2021 | llanelli AFC 0-4 Pontypridd Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 29, 2019 | Pontypridd Town 2-1 llanelli AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC on Mar 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| llanelli AFC | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Pontypridd Town | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
llanelli AFC sit 15th in FAW Championship (1 points from 4 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town?
- The Footlab model makes llanelli AFC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Pontypridd Town.
- Where and when is llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town played?
- llanelli AFC vs Pontypridd Town is played on February 12, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Stebonheath Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 12, 2027Caerphilly AthleticvsTreowen Stars
- Feb 12, 2027Swansea UniversityvsLlantwit Major
- Feb 12, 2027Afan LidovsTrethomas Bluebirds
- Feb 12, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsBaglan Dragons
- Feb 13, 2027Newport CityvsAberystwyth Town
- Feb 13, 2027Carmarthen TownvsCardiff Draconians
- Feb 13, 2027Ynyshir AlbionsvsPontardawe Town