Poortugaal vs TOGB: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Polder Albrandswaard, Poortugaal
The Footlab AI model makes Poortugaal the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for TOGB. The most likely score is 1-1. If Poortugaal wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poortugaal vs TOGB?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Poortugaal (1,653) and TOGB (1,686).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Poortugaal vs TOGB
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Poortugaal
4-3-3- 9B. el Idrissi
- 7Qrushinco Rosina
- 14P. Fernand
- 16Bjorn Wagenaar
- 6Sven Breukhoven
- 2N. Voorn
- 15Daan van der Harst
- 18Baset Moshtaq
- 3S. Hamann
- 5J. den Hartog
- 1Marvin Nootenboom
TOGB
4-3-3- 7M. Le Fevre
- 9A. Bensalah
- 19M. El Yakoubi
- 21T. Azaroiali
- 6J. Zandbergen
- 8L. Zwarteveld
- 3G. Zandbergen
- 5M. van der Elst
- 13F. Eijgenraam
- 15J. Weegman
- 1M. Zwartveld
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poortugaal have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; TOGB have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | UNA(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | GOES(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 4-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Poortugaal win, 0 draws, 0 TOGB wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TOGB 1-3 Poortugaal | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Poortugaal score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; TOGB score 2.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poortugaal | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| TOGB | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poortugaal sit 10th in Derde Divisie (12 points from 9 matches) and TOGB sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Poortugaal vs TOGB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poortugaal vs TOGB?
- The Footlab AI model makes Poortugaal the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for TOGB.
- Where and when is Poortugaal vs TOGB played?
- Poortugaal vs TOGB is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Polder Albrandswaard, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.