Match

Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 39Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire

Bristol RoversPort Vale

The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Bristol Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale?

Port Vale starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,801 vs 1,694).

34%28%38%
Bristol Rovers winDrawPort Vale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bristol Rovers

3-4-1-2
  1. 29F. Cavegn
  2. 28A. Appiah
  1. 2T. James
  2. 6C. Mola
  3. 7S. Forde
  4. 3J. Sparkes
  5. 21R. Smallwood
  1. 17C. Kelly
  2. 5A. Kilgour
  3. 4K. Balmer
  1. 1Brad Young

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 3J. Headley
  3. 33G. Hall
  4. 10K. Dempsey
  5. 7G. Byers
  1. 25C. Humphreys
  2. 4J. Moon
  3. 5C. Hall
  1. 20M. Maroši

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 10:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Port Vale have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bristol Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Fleetwood Town(away)1-3League Two
Oct 24, 2026Swindon Town(home)0-0League Two
Oct 20, 2026Salford City(home)1-2League Two
Oct 17, 2026Shrewsbury(away)0-1League Two
Oct 10, 2026Barnet(home)1-3League Two
Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Rochdale(home)4-2League Two
Oct 27, 2026Manchester City U21(home)5-0EFL Trophy
Oct 24, 2026York(away)0-2League Two
Oct 20, 2026Gillingham(away)1-1League Two
Oct 17, 2026Chesterfield(home)1-0League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bristol Rovers wins, 0 draws, 3 Port Vale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 6, 2025Port Vale 1-0 Bristol RoversFA Cup
Mar 29, 2024Port Vale 2-0 Bristol RoversLeague One
Oct 3, 2023Bristol Rovers 3-0 Port ValeLeague One
Apr 22, 2023Port Vale 2-0 Bristol RoversLeague One
Dec 10, 2022Bristol Rovers 1-0 Port ValeLeague One
Apr 18, 2022Port Vale 1-3 Bristol RoversLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers on Dec 6, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Bristol Rovers score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bristol Rovers1.21.757/158/15
Port Vale1.21.065/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bristol Rovers sit 17th in League Two (16 points from 14 matches) and Port Vale sit 19th (15 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Bristol Rovers14518172316
19Port Vale12435101415

A question about Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale?
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Bristol Rovers.
Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale played?
Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bristol Rovers and Port Vale

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