Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 39Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Port Vale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,888 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Bristol Rovers (1,779) and Port Vale (1,864).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol Rovers
3-4-1-2- 29F. Cavegn
- 19E. Harrison
- 2T. James
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 3J. Sparkes
- 21R. Smallwood
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 5A. Kilgour
- 1Brad Young
Port Vale
3-5-2- 11O. Hernández
- 36M. Watters
- 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
- 3J. Headley
- 33G. Hall
- 10K. Dempsey
- 7G. Byers
- 25C. Humphreys
- 4J. Moon
- 2K. John
- 20M. Maroši
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 04:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Port Vale have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 5-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | York(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bristol Rovers wins, 0 draws, 3 Port Vale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Port Vale 1-0 Bristol Rovers | FA Cup |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Bristol Rovers 3-0 Port Vale | League One |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Bristol Rovers 1-0 Port Vale | League One |
| Apr 18, 2022 | Port Vale 1-3 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Bristol Rovers on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol Rovers score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Port Vale | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol Rovers sit 15th in League Two (16 points from 13 matches) and Port Vale sit 23rd (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 16 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Port Vale.
- Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale played?
- Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.