Match

Gillingham vs Port Vale: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham, Kent

GillinghamPort Vale

The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gillingham vs Port Vale?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Gillingham (1,779) and Port Vale (1,840).

33%29%38%
Gillingham winDrawPort Vale win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gillingham vs Port Vale

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gillingham

3-4-3
  1. 10Ronan Hale
  2. 24H. Waldock
  3. 11L. Sillah
  1. 16J. Brophy
  2. 22N. Freeman
  3. 14R. McKenzie
  4. 8A. Little
  1. 5A. Smith
  2. 26L. Dobbs
  3. 19O. Beckles
  1. 40R. Luthra

Port Vale

3-5-2
  1. 11O. Hernández
  2. 36M. Watters
  1. 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
  2. 10K. Dempsey
  3. 3J. Headley
  4. 8B. Garrity
  5. 33G. Hall
  1. 5C. Hall
  2. 25C. Humphreys
  3. 4J. Moon
  1. 20M. Maroši

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gillingham have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Port Vale have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gillingham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Brighton U21(home)4-3EFL Trophy
Oct 10, 2026Rotherham(away)4-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Newport County(home)0-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026York(away)0-3League Two
Sep 22, 2026Cambridge United(home)1-4EFL Trophy
Port Vale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Grimsby(home)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Mansfield Town(home)2-0EFL Trophy
Sep 22, 2026Chesterfield(away)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Walsall(away)0-2League Two
Sep 12, 2026Exeter City(home)1-0League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gillingham wins, 2 draws, 2 Port Vale wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2025Port Vale 0-1 GillinghamLeague Two
Nov 9, 2024Gillingham 1-0 Port ValeLeague Two
Feb 11, 2017Gillingham 1-1 Port ValeLeague One
Sep 17, 2016Port Vale 2-1 GillinghamLeague One
Apr 16, 2016Gillingham 0-2 Port ValeLeague One
Aug 15, 2015Port Vale 1-1 GillinghamLeague One

Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Gillingham on May 3, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gillingham score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gillingham1.51.457/159/15
Port Vale0.81.164/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gillingham sit 4th in League Two (16 points from 10 matches) and Port Vale sit 22nd (8 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Gillingham10442151016
22Port Vale8224498

A question about Gillingham vs Port Vale?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gillingham vs Port Vale?
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Gillingham.
Where and when is Gillingham vs Port Vale played?
Gillingham vs Port Vale is played on October 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Priestfield Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Gillingham and Port Vale

Ready to know everything about football?