Port Vale vs Scunthorpe: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Scunthorpe. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?
On Elo ratings, Port Vale has 1,801 points and Scunthorpe 1,761.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Port Vale
3-5-2- 11O. Hernández
- 36M. Watters
- 3J. Headley
- 33G. Hall
- 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
- 7G. Byers
- 10K. Dempsey
- 25C. Humphreys
- 4J. Moon
- 5C. Hall
- 20M. Maroši
Scunthorpe
4-3-3- 9J. Norwood
- 18K. Hurst
- 14P. Jones
- 17D. Batty
- 19J. Richards
- 8A. Beestin
- 21J. Starbuck
- 33T. Denton
- 4J. Belehouan
- 5W. Evans
- 25M. Campbell
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Scunthorpe have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Manchester City U21(home) | 5-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | York(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Wolves U21(home) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-3 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Port Vale wins, 1 draw, 2 Scunthorpe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | Port Vale 1-0 Scunthorpe | League Two |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Scunthorpe 0-1 Port Vale | League Two |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Scunthorpe 2-0 Port Vale | League Two |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Port Vale 0-1 Scunthorpe | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Scunthorpe 1-2 Port Vale | League Cup |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Port Vale 2-2 Scunthorpe | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Port Vale vs Scunthorpe on Jan 29, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Port Vale score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Scunthorpe score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Scunthorpe | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Scunthorpe.
- Where and when is Port Vale vs Scunthorpe played?
- Port Vale vs Scunthorpe is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vale Park, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.