Portimonense vs Amarante: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Portimão, Portimão
The Footlab AI model makes Amarante the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Portimonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Amarante wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portimonense vs Amarante?
Amarante starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,063 vs 1,947).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Portimonense vs Amarante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Portimonense
3-4-3- 7Danio Djassi
- 2Edney
- 10S. Nakajima
- 15Xavier
- 8João Casimiro
- 9S. Yépié Yépié
- 21Yanis da Rocha
- 17João Reis
- 3Jarleysom Amurim
- 6S. Neves
- 1Dudu
Amarante
3-4-3- 5Joao Ricardo
- 88Rúben Alves
- 10M. Costa
- 26A. Zangre
- 8Tokinho
- 78Simão Silva
- 6Rodrigo Guedes
- 2Gonçalo Cunha
- 3Feliciano Mendes
- 28Diogo Costa
- 65Didi
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portimonense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Amarante have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Portimonense win, 0 draws, 0 Amarante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amarante 1-2 Portimonense | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Amarante vs Portimonense on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portimonense score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Amarante score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portimonense | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Amarante | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portimonense sit 11th in Segunda Liga (10 points from 7 matches) and Amarante sit 16th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Portimonense vs Amarante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portimonense vs Amarante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Amarante the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Portimonense.
- Where and when is Portimonense vs Amarante played?
- Portimonense vs Amarante is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Portimão, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.