Torreense vs Tondela: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Tondela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torreense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torreense vs Tondela?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Torreense (2,018) and Tondela (2,003).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torreense vs Tondela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torreense
4-2-3-1- 27M. Abubakari
- 8Alejandro Alfaro
- 6A. Oudrhiri
- 5M. Diadie
- 7D. Jean
- 11Manu Pozo
- 4Volnei Feltes
- 23Javi Vázquez
- 22David Bruno
- 45J. Mutombo
- 31Adriel
Tondela
4-2-3-1- 19Tómané
- 20Hugo Félix
- 7Cascavel
- 97Cícero
- 37Sarará
- 8Hélder Tavares
- 15Carraça
- 12Zé Ricardo
- 4Christian Marques
- 6Farru
- 28Araujo Carlos
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torreense have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tondela have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 28, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Torreense win, 2 draws, 3 Tondela wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tondela 1-0 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Tondela 2-2 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Torreense 0-2 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Torreense 0-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Torreense 1-1 Tondela | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Tondela 1-2 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Torreense score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tondela | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torreense sit 15th in Segunda Liga (6 points from 7 matches) and Tondela sit 7th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Torreense vs Tondela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torreense vs Tondela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Tondela.
- Where and when is Torreense vs Tondela played?
- Torreense vs Tondela is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Manuel Marques, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.