Portugal U17 vs Bulgaria U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cidade Desportiva SC Braga, Braga
The Footlab model makes Portugal U17 the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Bulgaria U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portugal U17 vs Bulgaria U17?
Portugal U17 starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal U17 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Bulgaria U17 have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Iceland U17(home) | 1-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Romania U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Italy U17(away) | 2-3 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Germany U17(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Finland U17(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Albania U17(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Albania U17(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Lithuania U17(away) | 3-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Malta U17(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Azerbaijan U17(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Portugal U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bulgaria U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | Bulgaria U17 1-2 Portugal U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Bulgaria U17 vs Portugal U17 on Mar 26, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bulgaria U17 score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal U17 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bulgaria U17 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portugal U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (7 points from 3 matches) and Bulgaria U17 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulgaria U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 1 | Portugal U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portugal U17 vs Bulgaria U17?
- The Footlab model makes Portugal U17 the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Bulgaria U17.
- Where and when is Portugal U17 vs Bulgaria U17 played?
- Portugal U17 vs Bulgaria U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cidade Desportiva SC Braga, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 23, 2026Iceland U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 23, 2026Bosnia-Herzegovina U17vsGreece U17
- Sep 26, 2026Greece U17vsGibraltar U17
- Sep 26, 2026Iceland U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Gibraltar U17vsBosnia-Herzegovina U17
- Sep 29, 2026Greece U17vsIceland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Israel U17vsSwitzerland U17
- Oct 12, 2026Spain U17vsLiechtenstein U17