Portugal vs Spain: result 2-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueFinalKick-off on June 8, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München
Full time
What was the result of Portugal vs Spain?
Portugal and Spain drew 2-2 on June 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 21′?Spain
- 26′?Portugal
- 45′?Spain
- 61′?Portugal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Spain have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2025 | Germany(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Denmark(home) | 5-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Denmark(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Croatia(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Poland(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2025 | France(home) | 5-4 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Netherlands(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Netherlands(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Switzerland(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Denmark(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Portugal win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Spain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2022 | Portugal 0-1 Spain | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 2, 2022 | Spain 1-1 Portugal | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Spain 0-0 Portugal | Friendlies |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Portugal 0-0 Spain | Friendlies |
| Jun 15, 2018 | Portugal 3-3 Spain | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2012 | Portugal 0-0 Spain | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Spain score 2.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 1.9 | 0.8 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Spain | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy