Potenza vs Cavese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 6Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, Potenza
The Footlab model makes Potenza the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Cavese. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Potenza vs Cavese?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Potenza (1,879) and Cavese (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Potenza have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cavese have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 4-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia |
| May 20, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 13, 2026 | Campobasso FC(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bari(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Campobasso FC(away) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Potenza win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Cavese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Potenza 2-2 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Cavese 3-0 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Potenza 1-0 Cavese | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Potenza 2-2 Cavese | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Cavese 0-0 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Cavese 0-2 Potenza | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Potenza score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cavese score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potenza | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Cavese | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Potenza sit 1st in Serie C - Girone C (3 points from 1 matches) and Cavese sit 20th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 20 | Cavese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Potenza vs Cavese?
- The Footlab model makes Potenza the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Cavese.
- Where and when is Potenza vs Cavese played?
- Potenza vs Cavese is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.