Match

Pozuelo Alarcón vs Alcobendas Sport: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valle de las Cañas, Pozuelo de Alarcón

Pozuelo AlarcónAlcobendas Sport

The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pozuelo Alarcón vs Alcobendas Sport?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721) and Alcobendas Sport (1,718).

Pozuelo Alarcón win41 %
Draw27 %
Alcobendas Sport win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pozuelo Alarcón have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Alcobendas Sport have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pozuelo Alarcón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Marchamalo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Tres Cantos(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Carabanchel(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Móstoles(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026SS Reyes II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas Sport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Leganés II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Torrejón(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026AD Parla(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Alcobendas Sport win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Alcobendas Sport 0-3 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 7, 2025Pozuelo Alarcón 1-2 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 25, 2024Pozuelo Alarcón 0-0 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 8, 2023Alcobendas Sport 0-0 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 18, 2023Alcobendas Sport 4-3 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 20, 2022Pozuelo Alarcón 0-0 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Alcobendas Sport vs Pozuelo Alarcón on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pozuelo Alarcón1.11.227/156/15
Alcobendas Sport1.21.439/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (48 points from 34 matches) and Alcobendas Sport sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Pozuelo Alarcón34121210403348
11Alcobendas Sport34121013454945

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pozuelo Alarcón vs Alcobendas Sport?
The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Alcobendas Sport.
Where and when is Pozuelo Alarcón vs Alcobendas Sport played?
Pozuelo Alarcón vs Alcobendas Sport is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valle de las Cañas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pozuelo Alarcón and Alcobendas Sport

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