Villanueva Pardillo vs Torrejón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, Villanueva del Pardillo
The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Villanueva Pardillo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villanueva Pardillo vs Torrejón?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Villanueva Pardillo (1,721) and Torrejón (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanueva Pardillo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Torrejón have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Carabanchel(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | SS Reyes II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Racing Madrid(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villanueva Pardillo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Torrejón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Torrejón 3-1 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Villanueva Pardillo 2-3 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Villanueva Pardillo 0-0 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Torrejón 1-1 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Torrejón 3-0 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Villanueva Pardillo 3-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Torrejón vs Villanueva Pardillo on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanueva Pardillo | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Torrejón | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villanueva Pardillo sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (44 points from 34 matches) and Torrejón sit 3rd (60 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torrejón | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 46 | 60 |
| 12 | Villanueva Pardillo | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 45 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villanueva Pardillo vs Torrejón?
- The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Villanueva Pardillo.
- Where and when is Villanueva Pardillo vs Torrejón played?
- Villanueva Pardillo vs Torrejón is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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