Match

Villanueva Pardillo vs Torrejón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, Villanueva del Pardillo

Villanueva PardilloTorrejón

The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Villanueva Pardillo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villanueva Pardillo vs Torrejón?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Villanueva Pardillo (1,721) and Torrejón (1,785).

Villanueva Pardillo win35 %
Draw26 %
Torrejón win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanueva Pardillo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Torrejón have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villanueva Pardillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Carabanchel(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Móstoles(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026SS Reyes II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Racing Madrid(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026Las Rozas(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Torrejón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Las Rozas(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Las Rozas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026AD Parla(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villanueva Pardillo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Torrejón win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Torrejón 3-1 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 5, 2025Villanueva Pardillo 2-3 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 3, 2024Villanueva Pardillo 0-0 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 15, 2023Torrejón 1-1 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 14, 2021Torrejón 3-0 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 13, 2020Villanueva Pardillo 3-1 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Torrejón vs Villanueva Pardillo on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villanueva Pardillo1.31.057/156/15
Torrejón1.71.5211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villanueva Pardillo sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (44 points from 34 matches) and Torrejón sit 3rd (60 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Torrejón341798574660
12Villanueva Pardillo3413516394544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villanueva Pardillo vs Torrejón?
The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Villanueva Pardillo.
Where and when is Villanueva Pardillo vs Torrejón played?
Villanueva Pardillo vs Torrejón is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Villanueva Pardillo and Torrejón

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