Where and when is Leganés II vs Galapagar played?

Leganés II vs Galapagar is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Leganés II vs Galapagar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés

Leganés II

Galapagar

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leganés II vs Galapagar?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,799) and Galapagar (1,723).

Leganés II win51 %

Draw26 %

Galapagar win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Galapagar have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leganés II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026	Alcobendas Sport(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Tres Cantos(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Galapagar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	AD Parla(away)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Adarve(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Alcorcón II(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Leganés II win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Galapagar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2026	Leganés II 0-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 5, 2025	Galapagar 2-2 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 9, 2025	Leganés II 0-2 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 29, 2024	Galapagar 1-1 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 18, 2024	Galapagar 0-0 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 30, 2023	Leganés II 0-0 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Galapagar on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Leganés II	1.7	1.6	3	10/15	8/15
Galapagar	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leganés II sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (55 points from 34 matches) and Galapagar sit 10th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Leganés II	34	15	10	10	63	33	55
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42	47	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Galapagar?: The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Leganés II vs Galapagar played?: Leganés II vs Galapagar is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.