Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas played?

Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano II

Trival Valderas

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas?

Trival Valderas starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,714).

Rayo Vallecano II win28 %

Draw27 %

Trival Valderas win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Trival Valderas have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rayo Vallecano II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Socuéllamos(home)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	RSD Alcalá(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	Intercity(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 4, 2026	Elche II(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Trival Valderas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	La Nucía(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	La Nucía(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rayo Vallecano II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Trival Valderas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2025	Rayo Vallecano II 3-2 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 29, 2024	Trival Valderas 5-1 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 7, 2024	Trival Valderas 3-0 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 19, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II 3-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023	Trival Valderas 4-0 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 26, 2022	Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas on Feb 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano II	0.6	2.3	1	6/15	10/15
Trival Valderas	1.5	0.7	7	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50	36	60

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas?: The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas played?: Rayo Vallecano II vs Trival Valderas is played on October 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.