Progreso vs Cerrito: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 22, 2016 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Cerrito?
Progreso won 2-1 on October 22, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Cerrito have 3, 0 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | Miramar(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Atletico Torque(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Rentistas(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Cerro Largo(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Central Espanol(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | Atenas(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Tacuarembo(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Canadian(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Villa Teresa(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Progreso win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cerrito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2015 | Cerrito 0-1 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Dec 3, 2014 | Progreso 2-1 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| May 17, 2014 | Progreso 3-0 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Cerrito 3-3 Progreso | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cerrito score 0.7 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Cerrito | 0.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerrito | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 24 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Cerrito | 44 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 48 | 69 | 46 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy