Match

Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti: prediction and stats

Cupa RomânieiGroup StageKick-off on October 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Progresul Spartac, București

Progresul SpartacPetrolul Ploiesti

The Footlab AI model makes Petrolul Ploiesti the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Progresul Spartac. The most likely score is 0-3.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,019 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti?

Petrolul Ploiesti is a heavy favourite: 1,809 Elo points against 1,499, a 311-point gap.

7%12%81%
Progresul Spartac winDrawPetrolul Ploiesti win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Progresul Spartac

4-3-3
  1. AA. Florescu
  2. MM. Andrei
  3. AA. Chirițoiu
  1. EE. Pacionel
  2. AA. Crivac
  3. GG. Petcu
  1. DD. Parfeon
  2. 16V. Calea
  3. RR. Răducioiu
  4. SS. Radu
  1. DD. Paraschiv

Petrolul Ploiesti

4-4-2
  1. 8L. Vega
  2. 9D. Nlundulu
  1. 20S. Hanca
  2. 7Rodrigo Martins
  3. 19Léo Teixeira
  4. 10A. Bran
  1. 71B. Malula
  2. 2A. Dumitrescu
  3. 22M. Țuțu
  4. 4P. Papp
  1. 38L. Zima

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 09:32 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Spartac have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Petrolul Ploiesti have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Progresul Spartac
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Dinamo Bucureşti II(away)0-2Liga III - Serie 5
Oct 10, 2026Voluntari II(home)1-2Liga III - Serie 5
Oct 2, 2026Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away)1-2Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 26, 2026FCSB II(home)2-1Liga III - Serie 5
Sep 23, 2026Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away)0-1Liga III - Serie 5
Petrolul Ploiesti
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(home)1-1Liga I
Oct 11, 2026Farul Constanta(away)1-3Liga I
Oct 3, 2026Chindia Targoviste(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Oct 2, 2026CS Afumati(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 21, 2026Csikszereda(home)2-0Liga I

How many goals should we expect?

Progresul Spartac score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Progresul Spartac2.01.429/1510/15
Petrolul Ploiesti1.31.537/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
The Footlab AI model makes Petrolul Ploiesti the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Progresul Spartac.
Where and when is Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti played?
Progresul Spartac vs Petrolul Ploiesti is played on October 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Progresul Spartac, in the Cupa României.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Progresul Spartac and Petrolul Ploiesti

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