Buxoro vs Mash'al: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Tukimachi Stadioni, Bukhara
The Footlab AI model makes Buxoro the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Mash'al. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxoro vs Mash'al?
Buxoro starts as the favourite with a 237-point Elo edge (1,671 vs 1,435).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buxoro vs Mash'al
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buxoro
4-3-3- 22A. Joraboev
- 10S. Ubaydullaev
- 9N. Kacharava
- 25S. Esanov
- 11Temur Mamasidiqov
- 21K. Ruziev
- 78V. Rodić
- 42K. Todorov
- 7K. Mukhtarov
- 27M. Yuldoshev
- 12U. Khamroyev
Mash'al
4-3-3- 11M. Jurabaev
- 9I. Ganikhonov
- 10K. Murtazaev
- 8S. Abduraymov
- 5K. Tozhidinov
- 28E. Ismoilov
- 70Azizbek Choriyev
- 2Zafar Akramov
- 19Tokhirbek To'khtasinov
- 99B. Askarov
- 35D. Tukhtaboev
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxoro have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Mash'al have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Andijan(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Navbahor(home) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Qizilqum(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Olmaliq(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kokand-1912(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pakhtakor(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sogdiana(away) | 2-5 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buxoro wins, 2 draws, 2 Mash'al wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Mash'al 0-1 Buxoro | Super League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Mash'al 0-0 Buxoro | Super League |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Mash'al 0-0 Buxoro | Super League |
| May 3, 2025 | Buxoro 1-2 Mash'al | Super League |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Mash'al 0-1 Buxoro | Pro League A |
| Sep 12, 2024 | Buxoro 0-1 Mash'al | Pro League A |
How many goals should we expect?
Buxoro score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mash'al score 0.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxoro | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Mash'al | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxoro sit 7th in Super League (37 points from 23 matches) and Mash'al sit 16th (4 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 37 |
| 16 | Mash'al | 24 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 48 | 4 |
A question about Buxoro vs Mash'al?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxoro vs Mash'al?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxoro the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Mash'al.
- Where and when is Buxoro vs Mash'al played?
- Buxoro vs Mash'al is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Tukimachi Stadioni, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.