Surkhon vs Lokomotiv: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Markaziy Stadion, Termiz
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Surkhon. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Surkhon vs Lokomotiv?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Surkhon (1,615) and Lokomotiv (1,703).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Surkhon vs Lokomotiv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Surkhon
4-3-3- 11R. Friday
- 19F. Qodirov
- 33U. Kuvandikov
- 21Tornike Dzebniauri
- 8H. Sherbotayev
- 15D. Ramazonov
- 7D. Tursunov
- 6B. Shamsiev
- 66B. Shaydulov
- 26B. Shukurullaev
- 25O. Boymurodov
Lokomotiv
4-3-3- 11T. Abdukholikov
- 9S. Nurulloyev
- 10S. Shodiboev
- 17S. Mirzaev
- 8B. Tupliyev
- 45J. Nišić
- 18O. Kucherenko
- 33O. Zoteev
- 28S. Muhammadiyev
- 15A. Šušnjar
- 1A. Kozlov
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 03:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Surkhon have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Lokomotiv have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Xorazm(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Qizilqum(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kokand-1912(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Neftchi(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Nasaf(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sogdiana(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bunyodkor(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Mash'al(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Surkhon wins, 1 draw, 3 Lokomotiv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Lokomotiv 3-1 Surkhon | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Surkhon 2-1 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| May 27, 2024 | Lokomotiv 1-1 Surkhon | Super League |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Surkhon 2-1 Lokomotiv | Super League |
| May 1, 2022 | Lokomotiv 2-0 Surkhon | Super League |
| Sep 16, 2021 | Lokomotiv 2-0 Surkhon | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Surkhon score 0.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surkhon | 0.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Lokomotiv | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Surkhon sit 12th in Super League (28 points from 24 matches) and Lokomotiv sit 6th (39 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotiv | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Surkhon | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 28 | 28 |
A question about Surkhon vs Lokomotiv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Surkhon vs Lokomotiv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Surkhon.
- Where and when is Surkhon vs Lokomotiv played?
- Surkhon vs Lokomotiv is played on November 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Markaziy Stadion, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.