QPR vs Southampton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)MATRADE Loftus Road, London
The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for QPR. The most likely score is 1-1. If Southampton wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win QPR vs Southampton?
Southampton starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (2,070 vs 1,910).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for QPR vs Southampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
QPR
4-3-3- 17K. Poku
- 11P. Smyth
- 16R. Burrell
- 5R. Edwards
- 24N. Madsen
- 18G. Kamara
- 3J. Dunne
- 6J. Clarke-Salter
- 2K. Adamson
- 27A. Mbengue
- 1P. Charles
Southampton
4-2-3-1- 9C. Larin
- 7Léo Scienza
- 4F. Downes
- 10F. Azaz
- 30J. Ward-Prowse
- 26Cameron Bragg
- 14J. Bree
- 13K. Schlotterbeck
- 3R. Manning
- 5J. Stephens
- 1Daniel Peretz
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, QPR have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Southampton have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 QPR wins, 0 draws, 6 Southampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Southampton 5-0 QPR | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2025 | QPR 1-2 Southampton | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2023 | QPR 0-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Southampton 2-1 QPR | Championship |
| Feb 7, 2015 | QPR 0-1 Southampton | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Southampton 2-1 QPR | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
QPR score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Southampton score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Southampton | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
QPR sit 8th in Championship (14 points from 9 matches) and Southampton sit 13th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 13 |
A question about QPR vs Southampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for QPR vs Southampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southampton the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for QPR.
- Where and when is QPR vs Southampton played?
- QPR vs Southampton is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at MATRADE Loftus Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.