Quintana vs Castuera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Quintana the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Castuera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quintana vs Castuera?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Quintana have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Castuera have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 4, 2025 | Trujillo(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Atlético Pueblonuevo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Puebla Calzada(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Extremadura 1924(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quintana vs Castuera?
- The Footlab model makes Quintana the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Castuera.
- Where and when is Quintana vs Castuera played?
- Quintana vs Castuera is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.