Quorn vs Ilkeston Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 26Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Farley Way Stadium, Quorn, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Quorn vs Ilkeston Town?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Quorn (1,768) and Ilkeston Town (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Quorn have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Ilkeston Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-5 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avro(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Quorn win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ilkeston Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2021 | Quorn 1-2 Ilkeston Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Quorn vs Ilkeston Town on Aug 21, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Quorn score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ilkeston Town score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quorn | 0.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ilkeston Town | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Quorn sit 21st in Non League Premier - Northern (2 points from 5 matches) and Ilkeston Town sit 13th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ilkeston Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 21 | Quorn | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Quorn vs Ilkeston Town?
- The Footlab model makes Quorn the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Ilkeston Town.
- Where and when is Quorn vs Ilkeston Town played?
- Quorn vs Ilkeston Town is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Farley Way Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.