Racing Ferrol vs Extremadura 1924: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 35Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol
The Footlab model makes Extremadura 1924 the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Extremadura 1924?
Extremadura 1924 starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,995 vs 1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Extremadura 1924 have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Osasuna II(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | La Unión Atlético(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Extremadura 1924 score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Ferrol | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Extremadura 1924 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Racing Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs Extremadura 1924?
- The Footlab model makes Extremadura 1924 the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Racing Ferrol.
- Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Extremadura 1924 played?
- Racing Ferrol vs Extremadura 1924 is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.