Pontevedra vs Zamora: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 35Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
The Footlab AI model makes Zamora the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Pontevedra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zamora wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontevedra vs Zamora?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Pontevedra (1,977) and Zamora (1,994).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontevedra vs Zamora
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontevedra
4-3-3- 22A. Comparada Gonzalez
- 11Iñaki Elejalde
- 9D. Mba
- 10Y. Pino
- 14L. Macias
- 6I. Ivorra
- 16A. Vidorreta
- 5A. Perez
- 20Rui Ferreira
- 15D. Alba
- 1Raúl Marqueta
Zamora
4-3-3- 7Javier Carbonell
- 20I. Incera
- 19Pau Mascaró
- 10Carlos Ramos
- 21A. Hidalgo
- 17F. Urzain
- 5Aleix Gorjón
- 3Luismi Luengo
- 4Unai Dufur
- 18Iago Indias
- 1Iker Piedra
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Zamora have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mirandes(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lugo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pontevedra wins, 1 draw, 3 Zamora wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zamora 2-1 Pontevedra | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Pontevedra 4-1 Zamora | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Pontevedra 1-3 Zamora | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Zamora 0-4 Pontevedra | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Pontevedra 0-1 Zamora | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Zamora 0-0 Pontevedra | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pontevedra score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zamora score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontevedra | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Zamora | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontevedra sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 8 matches) and Zamora sit 6th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zamora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
A question about Pontevedra vs Zamora?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Zamora?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zamora the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Pontevedra.
- Where and when is Pontevedra vs Zamora played?
- Pontevedra vs Zamora is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.