Real Avilés vs Racing Ferrol: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 36Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing Ferrol wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Avilés vs Racing Ferrol?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Real Avilés (1,902) and Racing Ferrol (1,906).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Avilés vs Racing Ferrol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Avilés
4-3-3- 8B. Abelenda
- 14Berto Cayarga
- 19N. Poquet
- 7Cris Montes
- 9Álvaro Santamaría
- 5Samuel
- 20O. Carracedo
- 4Markel Artetxe
- 21Jon Sillero
- 15Eric Pérez
- 1Álvaro Ratón
Racing Ferrol
4-3-3- 10Dani Ojeda
- 9Unai Ropero
- 18E. Eto'o Pineda
- 6Fabio González
- 14Jesús Bernal
- 16Raúl Blanco
- 2Migue Leal
- 17Álvaro Ramón
- 4Germán Novoa
- 5Eric Monjonell
- 1Lucas Díaz
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Racing Ferrol have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lugo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Real Avilés win, 2 draws, 0 Racing Ferrol wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Racing Ferrol 1-1 Real Avilés | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Racing Ferrol 2-2 Real Avilés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Real Avilés 2-1 Racing Ferrol | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Racing Ferrol vs Real Avilés on Aug 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Avilés | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Racing Ferrol | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Avilés sit 14th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 7 matches) and Racing Ferrol sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Real Avilés vs Racing Ferrol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Avilés vs Racing Ferrol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Real Avilés.
- Where and when is Real Avilés vs Racing Ferrol played?
- Real Avilés vs Racing Ferrol is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.