UD Ourense vs Arenas Getxo: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 35Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio O Couto, Ourense
The Footlab AI model makes UD Ourense the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1. If UD Ourense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Ourense vs Arenas Getxo?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate UD Ourense (1,898) and Arenas Getxo (1,854).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UD Ourense vs Arenas Getxo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UD Ourense
4-3-3- 17Xabi Dominguez
- 10David Ferreiro
- 11Sergi Baldrich
- 16Álvaro Bastida
- 19S. Pardo
- 14R. Martinez
- 4J. Labrada
- 3Julio Cabrera
- 5L. Fernandez
- 6N. Gonzalez
- 1Manuel Vizoso
Arenas Getxo
4-3-3- 9José Luis Cortés
- 23Álex Oyón
- 14E. Redondo
- 16Gael Akogo Esono
- 6I. Garcia
- 24Álvaro Arnedo
- 18Rubi
- 2J. Larrauri
- 15B. Arratibel
- 22A. Dufur
- 1Manuel Obón
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Ourense have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Arenas Getxo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 1-3 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 UD Ourense wins, 0 draws, 1 Arenas Getxo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arenas Getxo 2-0 UD Ourense | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs UD Ourense on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UD Ourense score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Getxo score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Ourense | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Arenas Getxo | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UD Ourense sit 19th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 10 matches) and Arenas Getxo sit 20th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | UD Ourense | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 8 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 8 |
A question about UD Ourense vs Arenas Getxo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Ourense vs Arenas Getxo?
- The Footlab AI model makes UD Ourense the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Arenas Getxo.
- Where and when is UD Ourense vs Arenas Getxo played?
- UD Ourense vs Arenas Getxo is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio O Couto, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.