Mirandes vs Barakaldo: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 35Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Anduva, Miranda de Ebro
The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Barakaldo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mirandes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mirandes vs Barakaldo?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Mirandes (1,909) and Barakaldo (1,948).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mirandes vs Barakaldo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mirandes
4-3-3- 11Aitor Uzkudun
- 9I. Unzueta
- 10Nico Espinosa
- 16Markel Lozano
- 19Ricardo de Moraes
- 6A. Verde
- 22Martín Aguirregabiria
- 21Aritz Arambarri
- 3Hodei Arrillaga
- 8R. Martinez
- 1Jesús Ruiz
Barakaldo
4-3-3- 27E. Mateos
- 19Ángel Troncho
- 9X. Sola
- 8Julen Huidobro
- 15I. Jimenez
- 21X. Fernandez
- 3Ander Zoilo
- 4O. Marotias
- 18Benat Gomez
- 22S. Calera
- 13Gaizka Campos
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirandes have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Barakaldo have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mirandes wins, 1 draw, 1 Barakaldo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barakaldo 2-0 Mirandes | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Barakaldo 1-1 Mirandes | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Barakaldo vs Mirandes on Oct 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mirandes score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Barakaldo score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandes | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Barakaldo | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirandes sit 12th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 8 matches) and Barakaldo sit 15th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mirandes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Mirandes vs Barakaldo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mirandes vs Barakaldo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mirandes the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Barakaldo.
- Where and when is Mirandes vs Barakaldo played?
- Mirandes vs Barakaldo is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.