Match

Zamora vs Pontevedra: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ruta de la Plata, Zamora

ZamoraPontevedra

The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Pontevedra. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zamora vs Pontevedra?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Zamora (1,973) and Pontevedra (1,986).

Zamora win40 %
Draw29 %
Pontevedra win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zamora have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Pontevedra have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Real Madrid II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026Sabadell(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026Sabadell(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026Villarreal II(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Coruxo(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Ourense CF(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Estradense(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Arosa(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Zamora win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pontevedra win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Zamora 2-1 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 1, 2025Pontevedra 4-1 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Feb 25, 2024Pontevedra 1-3 ZamoraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 15, 2023Zamora 0-4 PontevedraSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Feb 6, 2021Pontevedra 0-1 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 8, 2020Zamora 0-0 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Zamora vs Pontevedra on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zamora1.41.166/158/15
Pontevedra1.91.349/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zamora sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (61 points from 38 matches) and Pontevedra sit 6th (58 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zamora38171011534261
6Pontevedra3814168493158

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zamora vs Pontevedra?
The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Pontevedra.
Where and when is Zamora vs Pontevedra played?
Zamora vs Pontevedra is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ruta de la Plata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Zamora and Pontevedra

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