Racing Santander vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Santander the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Rayo Vallecano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Racing Santander wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Rayo Vallecano?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Racing Santander (2,042) and Rayo Vallecano (2,105).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Santander vs Rayo Vallecano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Santander
4-1-4-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 23Iván Martín
- 20Sergio Canales
- 18M. Prati
- 8André Almeida
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Rayo Vallecano
4-3-3- 10Sergio Camello
- 18Álvaro García
- 19Jorge de Frutos
- 8Unai López
- 6P. Ciss
- 23Óscar Valentín
- 24F. Lejeune
- 2A. Rațiu
- 17Adrià Pedrosa
- 15Mujaid Sadick
- 25E. Audero
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Santander have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rayo Vallecano have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-7 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Racing Santander wins, 1 draw, 4 Rayo Vallecano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Jul 20, 2020 | Racing Santander 1-2 Rayo Vallecano | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2019 | Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Racing Santander | Segunda División |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Rayo Vallecano 4-2 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Racing Santander 1-1 Rayo Vallecano | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Santander score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Santander sit 15th in La Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Rayo Vallecano sit 13th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 8 |
A question about Racing Santander vs Rayo Vallecano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Santander vs Rayo Vallecano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Santander the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Rayo Vallecano.
- Where and when is Racing Santander vs Rayo Vallecano played?
- Racing Santander vs Rayo Vallecano is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.